mlb players 30-homer club

33 MLB Players Hit 30-Plus Home Runs in 2025 — How Many Will in 2026?

Last Updated on February 27, 2026 by Matt Musico

What’s the baseline for an elite power season in the big leagues?

The answer to that question likely depends on who you ask. But to me, watching an MLB player slug at least 30 home runs with 100-plus RBI in a single campaign is the floor when it comes to having a huge year in the power department. 

So, with that thought in mind, how many hitters have a legitimate shot at joining the 30-homer club in 2026? To make an educated guess on what might happen in the coming months, we should first look back at what went down over the past few seasons. 

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A Look at MLB Players With 30-Plus Home Runs in 2025

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On the surface, it feels like the 30-homer club isn’t very special. Virtually all of us have seen it happen at least once (usually many times) each year for our entire lives.

But after a quick scan of Baseball-Reference data, I found out that the last time MLB didn’t produce at least one hitter with 30 or more home runs was in 1945 (not counting the 2020 season, of course)! Tommy Holmes led the way with 28 homers that season.

When you look at things more closely, though, you can see why it’s still a special benchmark for players. According to FanGraphs, 348 hitters compiled at least 200 plate appearances in 2025. Among that group, only 33 surpassed the 30-homer plateau.

That’s still less than 10% of the league (9.48%, to be exact).

This group of sluggers had all the usual suspects, like Cal Raleigh, Kyle Schwarber, Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge, and Pete Alonso. But they were also joined by dudes like Byron Buxton, Jo Adell, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Pete Crow-Armstrong, Junior Caminero, Trent Grisham, Vinnie Pasquantino…you get the picture.

While there were plenty of guys we expected to see on this list once the final out of Game 162 was made, there were just as many — if not more — surprises and first-timers.

How Does 2025 Compare to the Rest of the Decade?

After establishing who joined the 30-homer club in 2025, we now need a little more context. Is that a lot more guys than usual or not?

Here’s a quick look at the number of players who accomplished that feat each year since 2021 (minimum playing time of 200 plate appearances):

We have quite a range here after starting things with a bang in 2021, right? If you’re curious as to how this compares to the home run barrage we saw during the 2019 campaign, you’re not alone. I was thinking the same thing.

That year blew all of these out of the water. A staggering 58 players with at least 200 plate appearances hit 30-plus homers in 2019. That was also a tremendous increase compared to 2018, when 27 different players accomplished the feat.

What Do 2026 Projections Expect For This Club?

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If we throw out 2019 and 2021 as outliers (for more than one reason, but that’s a conversation for another day), we can reasonably expect somewhere between 20 and 30 players slugging at least 30 homers during a “normal” year.

What do the projections expect to happen this upcoming season? They’re unsurprisingly conservative.

Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections at FanGraphs have 15 players doing it in 2026: Ohtani (52), Schwarber (43), Judge (42), Raleigh (41), Alonso (38), Juan Soto (37), Junior Caminero (36), Eugenio Suárez (35), Brent Rooker (34), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (32), Kyle Tucker (31), Nick Kurtz (31), Spencer Torkelson (31), Matt Olson (30), and Rafael Devers (30). There’s also another 14 projected to hit between 27 and 29 homers.

ATC projections have just 14 players crossing over the threshold, with 23 hitting between 27 and 29 taters. FanGraphs’ Steamer projections are the most bullish for the first group, pegging 17 hitters to slug 30 or more, but just eight more to finish between 27 and 29.

This group of players is typically shaped by those we didn’t initially expect to see there, or those who break out and reach it for the first time. Who do you think will slug 30-plus taters for the first time in 2026?

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